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Akron Togliatti vs FK Rostov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Samara Arena, Samara
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Olusegun O.
Assist: Madrakhimov K.
7' Event
Mikhailov Y.
Assist: Zhbanov I.
37'
Sub
Bazilevskiy N. In: Platon N.
Out: Bazilevskiy N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Akron Togliatti
20%
Draws
44%
FK Rostov
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Rostov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Akron Togliatti haven't matched FK Rostov's recent run of results.
  • Akron Togliatti are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • FK Rostov arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Rostov, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FK Rostov have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Akron Togliatti Clean Sheet 20%
FK Rostov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akron Togliatti FK Rostov
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Akron Togliatti
1:0
Aug 4, 2026 Russian Cup
Akron Togliatti vs FK Rostov
0:4
May 11, 2026 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs FK Rostov
1:3
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Akron Togliatti
0:1
Mar 31, 2025 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs FK Rostov
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akron Togliatti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Rostov Compare

Top Goalscorer Olusegun O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikhailov Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akron Togliatti 49 / 100
FK Rostov 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akron Togliatti FK Rostov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akron Togliatti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akron Togliatti found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: FK Rostov conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Akron Togliatti stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Akron Togliatti VS FK Rostov
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Akron Togliatti

(Home)
09 Oct
FK Rostov
1 : 0
Akron Togliatti
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0
Akron Togliatti
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1
Akron Togliatti
06 Sept
Orenburg
2 : 2
Akron Togliatti
Page 1 of 6

FK Rostov

(Away)
09 Oct
FK Rostov
1 : 0
Akron Togliatti
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Krasnodar
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0
FK Rostov
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)