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Akron Togliatti vs Krylya Sovetov Samara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Samara Arena, Samara
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Fernandez R.
19' Event
Chernov N.
Assist: Gorshkov Y.
36'
Vityugov M.

AI Match Summary

Krylya Sovetov Samara in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Krylya Sovetov Samara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Akron Togliatti
35%
Draws
42%
Krylya Sovetov Samara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Krylya Sovetov Samara at 1.52 per game, Akron Togliatti at 1.07.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Krylya Sovetov Samara taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Akron Togliatti Clean Sheet 12%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akron Togliatti Krylya Sovetov Samara
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Akron Togliatti
4:0
Aug 23, 2026 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
0:3
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Akron Togliatti vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
2:1
May 17, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Akron Togliatti
4:1
Jul 19, 2025 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akron Togliatti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Krylya Sovetov Samara Compare

Top Goalscorer Chernov N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oroz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akron Togliatti 14 / 100
Krylya Sovetov Samara 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akron Togliatti Krylya Sovetov Samara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krylya Sovetov Samara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krylya Sovetov Samara has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Akron Togliatti's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Akron Togliatti stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Akron Togliatti VS Krylya Sovetov Samara
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Akron Togliatti

(Home)
09 Oct
FK Rostov
1 : 0
Akron Togliatti
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0
Akron Togliatti
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1
Akron Togliatti
06 Sept
Orenburg
2 : 2
Akron Togliatti
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Krylya Sovetov Samara

(Away)
10 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 1
Spartak Moscow
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0
Akron Togliatti
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2
Krasnodar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 10 7 0 3 22:11 21
2 Krasnodar 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
3 Spartak Moscow 10 6 2 2 17:8 20
4 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
5 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
6 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
7 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 2 6 2 14:15 12
10 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
11 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 10 2 4 4 13:11 10
13 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
14 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 10 0 3 7 6:18 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)