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Aksakovo vs Botev Novi Pazar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Aksakovo and Botev Novi Pazar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aksakovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aksakovo
6%
Draws
4%
Botev Novi Pazar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aksakovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aksakovo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aksakovo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aksakovo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Aksakovo Clean Sheet 14%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aksakovo Botev Novi Pazar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Botev Novi Pazar
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Aksakovo
2:1
May 3, 2025 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Botev Novi Pazar
4:1
Feb 9, 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Aksakovo
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aksakovo 84 / 100
Botev Novi Pazar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aksakovo Botev Novi Pazar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Novi Pazar has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Aksakovo's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Botev Novi Pazar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aksakovo VS Botev Novi Pazar
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291