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Aksakovo vs Chernomorets Balchik

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chernomorets Balchik in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chernomorets Balchik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Aksakovo
6%
Draws
90%
Chernomorets Balchik
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chernomorets Balchik lately — more wins on the board than Aksakovo.
  • Chernomorets Balchik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chernomorets Balchik have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Aksakovo Clean Sheet 10%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aksakovo Chernomorets Balchik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 25
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 1
Goals Scored 1.25 3
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Aksakovo
3:0
Dec 6, 2025 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:3
Mar 1, 2025 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:3
Sep 11, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Aksakovo
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aksakovo 10 / 100
Chernomorets Balchik 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aksakovo Chernomorets Balchik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aksakovo's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Chernomorets Balchik let in goals in 37% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Aksakovo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aksakovo VS Chernomorets Balchik
1.25 Goals Scored 3
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291