Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aksakovo vs Dorostol

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - North-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aksakovo
15%
Draws
0%
Dorostol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aksakovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aksakovo have won more games recently than Dorostol.
  • Model gives Aksakovo a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Aksakovo Clean Sheet 14%
Dorostol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aksakovo Dorostol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.27 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Dorostol
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Aksakovo
4:0
Apr 26, 2025 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Aksakovo
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Dorostol
0:1
Apr 3, 2010 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Dorostol
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aksakovo 39 / 100
Dorostol 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aksakovo Dorostol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aksakovo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorostol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Dorostol lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aksakovo scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aksakovo VS Dorostol
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aksakovo

(Home)
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
26 Aug
Ludogorets III
6 : 1
Aksakovo
22 Aug
Septemvri Dragoevo
4 : 2
Aksakovo
30 May
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0
Aksakovo
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Dorostol

(Away)
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1
Dorostol
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
26 Aug
FK Riltzi
1 : 0
Dorostol
22 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 4
Svetkavitsa 2014
30 May
Chernolomets
3 : 0
Dorostol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)