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Aksehirspor vs Gemlikspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Kucukdurmus M.
(Penalty)
64' Event
Ozdemir B.
Assist: Memis A.
71' Event
Gunes M.
Assist: Ozdemir B.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 2 game between Aksehirspor and Gemlikspor finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gemlikspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Aksehirspor
15%
Draws
69%
Gemlikspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gemlikspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Gemlikspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gemlikspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Aksehirspor Clean Sheet 10%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aksehirspor Gemlikspor
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 1 14
Draws 0 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Aksehirspor vs Gemlikspor
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aksehirspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Gemlikspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozdemir B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gunes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aksehirspor 10 / 100
Gemlikspor 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aksehirspor Gemlikspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemlikspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Aksehirspor found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (8 games).

Gemlikspor has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Aksehirspor stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aksehirspor VS Gemlikspor
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aksehirspor

(Home)
11 Oct
Balikesirspor
3 : 1
Aksehirspor
07 Oct
Eskisehirspor
4 : 1
Aksehirspor
03 Oct
Aksehirspor
0 : 3
Eskisehirspor
27 Sept
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3 : 0
Aksehirspor
19 Sept
Aksehirspor
3 : 1
Alanya 1221
Page 1 of 2

Gemlikspor

(Away)
11 Oct
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Kepez Bld.
07 Oct
Gemlikspor
2 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
03 Oct
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Gemlikspor
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
20 Sept
Altay
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Bursa Yildirimspor 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
3 Etimesgut 6 4 1 1 8:2 13
4 Ayvalikgucu 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
5 Balikesirspor 6 4 0 2 17:13 12
6 Eskisehirspor 6 3 2 1 17:7 11
7 Eskisehir Anadolu 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
8 Bigaspor 6 3 2 1 13:9 11
9 Altay 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
10 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
11 Karsiyaka 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
12 Soke 1970 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
13 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
14 Bucaspor 1928 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
15 Aksehirspor 6 1 0 5 5:16 3
16 Kepez Bld. 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
17 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 6 0 2 4 1:11 2
18 Alanya 1221 6 0 1 5 1:14 1
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)