Sport Picks

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Aktobe 2 vs AKAS

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025 Odyushor no.8, Aktobe
Aktobe 2 Logo

Aktobe 2

1 - 3
FT
AKAS Logo

AKAS

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Bulgakbaev A.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Sautov A.
Assist: Gridin S.
46'
Sub
Begimov A. In: Abilkasov I.
Out: Begimov A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AKAS in this First League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AKAS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aktobe 2
20%
Draws
40%
AKAS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Aktobe 2 haven't matched AKAS's recent run of results.
  • AKAS are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%
AKAS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aktobe 2 AKAS
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.58 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.94 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2025 First League
AKAS vs Aktobe 2
4:0
May 23, 2025 First League
Aktobe 2 vs AKAS
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aktobe 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Laturnus V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

AKAS Compare

Top Goalscorer Sautov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gridin S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aktobe 2 10 / 100
AKAS 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aktobe 2 AKAS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AKAS has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Aktobe 2 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

AKAS's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aktobe 2 VS AKAS
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aktobe 2

(Home)
13 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 6
Shakhter Karagandy
06 Aug
Aktobe 2
0 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
30 Jul
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 1
Aktobe 2
24 Jul
Aktobe 2
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
16 Jul
Taraz
1 : 1
Aktobe 2
Page 1 of 7

AKAS

(Away)
24 Oct
AKAS
1 : 2
Kaspij Aktau
16 Oct
Taraz
3 : 1
AKAS
02 Oct
AKAS
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
26 Sept
Zhetisay
2 : 1
AKAS
18 Sept
AKAS
1 : 1
Altai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaspij Aktau 26 22 2 2 74:27 68
2 Ertis Pavlodar 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Altai 26 17 4 5 54:23 55
4 Shakhter Karagandy 26 16 5 5 61:34 53
5 Zhetisay 26 13 3 10 44:35 42
6 Kairat Almaty 2 26 12 4 10 58:42 40
7 Akademiya Ontustik 26 12 3 11 44:44 39
8 Taraz 26 10 5 11 43:38 35
9 AKAS 26 10 3 13 42:39 33
10 FC Ekibastuz 26 8 4 14 36:60 28
11 SD Family 26 7 2 17 33:75 23
12 Khan Tengri 26 5 3 18 27:55 18
13 Aktobe 2 26 3 7 16 34:65 16
14 Turkistan 26 2 3 21 16:80 9
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