Sport Picks

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Aktobe 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aktobe 2 host Kairat Almaty 2 in the First League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Aktobe 2 at 1.88 goals for, 3.25 against; Kairat Almaty 2 at 3.88 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor Kairat Almaty 2 slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2026, ending 6:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 3.56, favoring Kairat Almaty 2. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Aktobe 2
6%
Draws
90%
Kairat Almaty 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kairat Almaty 2 come out ahead of Aktobe 2 on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Kairat Almaty 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aktobe 2 Kairat Almaty 2
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 21
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.88 3.88
Goals Conceded 3.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Aktobe 2
6:0
Aug 7, 2025 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Aktobe 2
2:2
May 8, 2025 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
1:1
Sep 26, 2024 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Aktobe 2
1:1
May 9, 2024 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aktobe 2 10 / 100
Kairat Almaty 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aktobe 2 Kairat Almaty 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Aktobe 2 scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Kairat Almaty 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Aktobe 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aktobe 2 VS Kairat Almaty 2
1.88 Goals Scored 3.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 214122050:738
2Shakhter Karagandy14121138:537
3Turan1491429:1128
4FC Astana 21472525:2223
5Akademiya Ontustik1472522:1923
6Jaiyq1461711:1819
7Taraz1452720:2017
8Khan Tengri1452718:2617
9FC Ekibastuz1445517:2617
10Aktobe 21445527:4017
11Kaspij Aktau 21443716:2815
12Arys14311015:3210
13Yelimay Semey 21423911:279
14Tobol 21414923:417