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Aktobe 2 vs Kaspij Aktau 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Zhumabay R.
44' Event
Muratov D.
Assist: Turdybaev N.
59' Event
Shinzyrbekov E.
Assist: Zhumabay E.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Aktobe 2 and Kaspij Aktau 2 finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Aktobe 2
15%
Draws
12%
Kaspij Aktau 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aktobe 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Aktobe 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aktobe 2 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Kaspij Aktau 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aktobe 2 Kaspij Aktau 2
Matches Played 29 23
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.79 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 First League
Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Aktobe 2
6:1
Apr 30, 2026 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Kaspij Aktau 2
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aktobe 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Muratov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baidalinov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kaspij Aktau 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhumabay R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shinzyrbekov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aktobe 2 74 / 100
Kaspij Aktau 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aktobe 2 Kaspij Aktau 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aktobe 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaspij Aktau 2 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 23 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Aktobe 2 scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Kaspij Aktau 2's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aktobe 2 VS Kaspij Aktau 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aktobe 2

(Home)
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
20 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 5
Aktobe 2
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Kaspij Aktau 2

(Away)
19 Sept
Tobol 2
3 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Arys
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
21 Aug
Jaiyq
0 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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