Sport Picks
Aktobe 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
First League 
Match Events
28'
28'
Litosh A.
Assist: Kalybayev D.
29'
29'
Litosh A.
Assist: Ulshin A.
51'
51'
Kalybayev D.
Assist: Azatkazy N.
AI Match Summary
The First League game between Aktobe 2 and Shakhter Karagandy finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shakhter Karagandy.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Aktobe 2 haven't matched Shakhter Karagandy's recent run of results.
- Shakhter Karagandy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Shakhter Karagandy here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Shakhter Karagandy Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aktobe 2 | Shakhter Karagandy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 24 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 2.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.86 | 0.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 3.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2026 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy
1:6
May 15, 2026 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Aktobe 2
7:0
Aug 14, 2025 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy
2:2
May 16, 2025 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Aktobe 2
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aktobe 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Muratov D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Shakhter Karagandy Compare
Top Goalscorer Litosh A.
3 Goals Assists Leader Kalybayev D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.9
Avg xA / game 1.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aktobe 2 10 / 100
Shakhter Karagandy 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aktobe 2 Shakhter Karagandy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shakhter Karagandy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Aktobe 2 scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Shakhter Karagandy let in goals in 24% of their last 29 matches.
Aktobe 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aktobe 2 VS Shakhter Karagandy
1.38 Goals Scored 3.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Aktobe 2
(Home) 08 Oct
Aktobe 2
4 : 4 Tobol 2
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1 Aktobe 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3 Turan
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1 Aktobe 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0 Jaiyq
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Aktobe 2
4 : 4 Tobol 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3 Turan
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0 Jaiyq
13 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 6 Shakhter Karagandy
06 Aug
Aktobe 2
0 : 2 FC Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 3
Shakhter Karagandy
(Away) 08 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
2 : 0 Akademiya Ontustik
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0 Taraz
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2 Shakhter Karagandy
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0 Khan Tengri
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3 Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2 Shakhter Karagandy
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3 Shakhter Karagandy
13 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 6 Shakhter Karagandy
31 Jul
Tobol 2
0 : 2 Shakhter Karagandy
16 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
0 : 2 Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhter Karagandy | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 66:8 | 65 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty 2 | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 66:12 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 51:21 | 50 |
| 4 | Akademiya Ontustik | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 36:29 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Astana 2 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 42:49 | 33 |
| 6 | Jaiyq | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Taraz | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30:32 | 30 |
| 8 | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 35:41 | 28 |
| 9 | Arys | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 10 | FC Ekibastuz | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 31:53 | 26 |
| 11 | Khan Tengri | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 29:44 | 25 |
| 12 | Aktobe 2 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 42:73 | 24 |
| 13 | Tobol 2 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 44:61 | 17 |
| 14 | Yelimay Semey 2 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 19:50 | 12 |
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