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Aktobe vs Aksu Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League 2024 Koblandy Batyr Stadium, Aktobe
Sat, Oct 19, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aktobe host Aksu in the Premier League 2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Aksu have shipped 2.75 goals a game lately, while Aktobe have conceded 1.23 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Aktobe slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 19, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.29 - 0.94) back Aktobe to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Aktobe
15%
Draws
23%
Aksu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aktobe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Aktobe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aktobe's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aktobe Clean Sheet 20%
Aksu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aktobe Aksu
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 14 1
Draws 6 0
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 Premier League
Aktobe vs Aksu
0:0
Mar 5, 2024 Premier League
Aksu vs Aktobe
0:0
Aug 13, 2023 Premier League
Aksu vs Aktobe
1:1
May 6, 2023 Premier League
Aktobe vs Aksu
2:1
Aug 26, 2022 Premier League
Aktobe vs Aksu
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aktobe 40 / 100
Aksu 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aktobe Aksu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aktobe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Aksu conceded in 100% of 4 recent games.

Solid form: Aktobe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Aksu registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aktobe VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aktobe

(Home)
18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2
Ulytau
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2
Aktobe
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
30 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1
Aktobe
15 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 2
Aktobe
Page 1 of 6

Aksu

(Away)
19 Mar
FK Kyran
2 : 5
Aksu
13 Mar
Aksu
0 : 3
Zhetisay
26 Feb
Aksu
1 : 3
Tyumen
29 Oct
Aksu
0 : 3
Tobol

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kairat Almaty 24 14 5 5 39:21 47
2 FC Astana 24 14 4 6 39:19 46
3 Aktobe 24 12 7 5 39:26 43
4 Ordabasy 24 12 6 6 36:24 42
5 Tobol 24 11 6 7 33:23 39
6 Yelimay Semey 24 10 7 7 35:32 37
7 Atyrau 24 9 8 7 28:20 35
8 Kaisar Kyzylorda 24 9 7 8 28:29 34
9 Kyzylzhar 24 8 5 11 29:26 29
10 Zhenis 24 6 6 12 18:32 24
11 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 24 5 8 11 17:33 23
12 Turan 24 5 5 14 16:39 20
13 Shakhter Karagandy 24 2 4 18 12:45 10
14 Aksu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2025 (Main)
Relegation - First League 2025 (Main)