Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Zeljkovic A.
Assist: Dosmagambetov T.
24'
24'
Redzhepov T.
28'
28'
Redzhepov T.
Assist: Gorshunov E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aktobe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Aktobe come out ahead of Altai on wins alone.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Aktobe taking it.
- Aktobe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Aktobe, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aktobe Clean Sheet 16%
Altai Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aktobe | Altai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 19, 2026 Premier League
Altai vs Aktobe
2:4
Jun 14, 2026 Premier League
Aktobe vs Altai
2:0
May 13, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Aktobe vs Altai
1:2
Oct 31, 2020 First League
Altai vs Aktobe
2:0
Oct 3, 2020 First League
Aktobe vs Altai
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aktobe Compare
Top Goalscorer Zeljkovic A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Altai Compare
Top Goalscorer Redzhepov T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aktobe 39 / 100
Altai 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aktobe Altai
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aktobe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aktobe scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Altai conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Aktobe has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Aktobe VS Altai
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Aktobe
(Home) 18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2 Ulytau
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2 Aktobe
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0 Zhenis
30 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1 Aktobe
15 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 2 Aktobe
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2 Ulytau
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0 Zhenis
25 Jul
Aktobe
2 : 1 Okzhetpes
05 Jul
Aktobe
2 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
21 Jun
Aktobe
2 : 0 FC Astana
Page 1 of 3
Altai
(Away) 18 Sept
Altai
1 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3 Altai
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0 Kaisar Kyzylorda
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0 Altai
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2 Ordabasy
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3 Altai
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0 Altai
15 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 1 Altai
02 Aug
Okzhetpes
4 : 1 Altai
26 Jul
FC Astana
4 : 1 Altai
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Akademiya Ontustik 2
Ordabasy 4
FC Ekibastuz 0
Kaspij Aktau 4
Jas Qyran 0
Atyrau 4
Karshiga Almaty 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1
Arys 0
Aktobe 4
Turan 1
Yelimay Semey 4
Jelaev Nan 0
Altai 2
Taraz 0
Ulytau 1
Talas 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Jaiyq 1
Kairat Almaty 3
BKS 1
FC Astana 2
Ansat 0
Tobol 8
Shakhter Karagandy 2
Okzhetpes 3
Chromtau 1
Zhenis 4
SD Family -
Ertis Pavlodar -
Khan Tengri 0
Kyzylzhar 1
1/8-finals
Ordabasy 3
Kaspij Aktau 0
Atyrau 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2
Aktobe 2
Yelimay Semey 1
Altai 4
Ulytau 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Kairat Almaty 1
FC Astana 1
Tobol 2
Okzhetpes 2
Zhenis 3
Ertis Pavlodar 1
Kyzylzhar 2
Quarter-finals
Ordabasy 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0
Aktobe 1
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Tobol 1
Zhenis 2
Kyzylzhar 0
Semi-finals
Ordabasy 5
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 5
Zhenis 4
Final
Ordabasy -
Kaisar Kyzylorda -
