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Aktobe W vs Ertis Pavlodar W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Rees M.
Assist: Gaistenova A.
11' Event
Litvinenko A.
26' Event
Karazhanova A.
Assist: Litvinenko A.

AI Match Summary

The League Women game between Aktobe W and Ertis Pavlodar W finished 9-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aktobe W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Aktobe W
15%
Draws
21%
Ertis Pavlodar W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aktobe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aktobe W come out ahead of Ertis Pavlodar W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aktobe W a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Aktobe W Clean Sheet 20%
Ertis Pavlodar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aktobe W Ertis Pavlodar W
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 28 5
Draws 0 3
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 7.74 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.55 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 League Women
Ertis Pavlodar W vs Aktobe W
0:12
Jul 28, 2026 League Women
Aktobe W vs Ertis Pavlodar W
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aktobe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Litvinenko A.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Rees M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Ertis Pavlodar W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aktobe W 85 / 100
Ertis Pavlodar W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aktobe W Ertis Pavlodar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aktobe W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 10.50 goals when they meet.

Ertis Pavlodar W has conceded goals in 78% of their last 18 outings.

Aktobe W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aktobe W VS Ertis Pavlodar W
6.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aktobe W

(Home)
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0
Ajax W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
17 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
0 : 2
Aktobe W
14 Sept
Aktobe W
0 : 1
Tomiris-Turan W
08 Sept
Aktobe W
6 : 0
Okzhetpes W
Page 1 of 7

Ertis Pavlodar W

(Away)
08 Sept
Zhenis Astana W
2 : 1
Ertis Pavlodar W
28 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
0 : 12
Aktobe W
25 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
0 : 2
Kyzylzhar W
18 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy W
2 : 1
Ertis Pavlodar W
11 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
2 : 0
Altai W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BIIK Shymkent W 16 15 0 1 132:5 45
2 Tomiris-Turan W 16 14 0 2 51:12 42
3 Kairat W 16 9 1 6 43:25 28
4 Atyrau W 16 8 2 6 28:30 26
5 Kaisar Kyzylorda W 15 8 1 6 23:30 25
6 Ordabasy W 16 5 3 8 16:39 18
7 Zhetysu W 16 4 3 9 22:43 15
8 Ulytau W 16 1 1 14 5:70 4
9 Kaspij Aktau W 15 0 3 12 1:67 3
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aktobe W 18 18 0 0 166:2 54
2 Zhenis Astana W 18 14 1 3 71:34 43
3 Kyzylzhar W 18 13 2 3 66:14 41
4 Yelimay Semey W 18 9 1 8 35:28 28
5 Shakhter Karagandy W 18 7 2 9 16:69 23
6 FC Astana W 18 7 1 10 24:55 22
7 Tobol W 18 7 1 10 16:48 22
8 Ertis Pavlodar W 18 5 3 10 20:43 18
9 Altai W 18 1 3 14 10:65 6
10 Okzhetpes W 18 2 0 16 13:79 6
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)