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Al-Afreeki vs Al Nasr Prediction & H2H Stats

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Nasr in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Nasr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Al-Afreeki
15%
Draws
85%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Nasr lately — more wins on the board than Al-Afreeki.
  • Model gives Al Nasr a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Nasr here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al-Afreeki Clean Sheet 20%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Afreeki Al Nasr
Matches Played 19 34
Wins 7 19
Draws 2 10
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.74 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Premier League
Al-Afreeki vs Al Nasr
1:2
Mar 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Nasr vs Al-Afreeki
2:0
Jan 7, 2026 Premier League
Al-Afreeki vs Al Nasr
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Afreeki 28 / 100
Al Nasr 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Afreeki Al Nasr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Afreeki found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (19 games).

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Al Nasr conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.

Al Nasr's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Afreeki VS Al Nasr
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Afreeki

(Home)
23 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 4
Al Ahly Benghazi
19 May
Al-Afreeki
2 : 3
Al Akhdar
15 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 2
Al Nasr
11 May
Al-Afreeki
0 : 1
Military Union
07 May
Al-Afreeki
0 : 1
Al Hilal Benghazi
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Al Nasr

(Away)
06 Jun
Asswehly
2 : 1
Al Nasr
23 May
Al Nasr
2 : 1
Military Union
19 May
Al Nasr
1 : 0
Al Ahly Benghazi
15 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 2
Al Nasr
11 May
Al Hilal Benghazi
2 : 3
Al Nasr
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