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Al-Afreeki vs Military Union

Libya Libya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Military Union in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Military Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al-Afreeki
40%
Draws
29%
Military Union
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Afreeki haven't matched Military Union's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Al-Afreeki Clean Sheet 20%
Military Union Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Afreeki Military Union
Matches Played 19 21
Wins 7 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Premier League
Al-Afreeki vs Military Union
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Afreeki 32 / 100
Military Union 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Afreeki Military Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Afreeki scored in 79% of their last 19 games.

Military Union let in goals in 52% of their last 21 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Military Union has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Afreeki VS Military Union
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Afreeki

(Home)
23 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 4
Al Ahly Benghazi
19 May
Al-Afreeki
2 : 3
Al Akhdar
15 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 2
Al Nasr
11 May
Al-Afreeki
0 : 1
Military Union
07 May
Al-Afreeki
0 : 1
Al Hilal Benghazi
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Military Union

(Away)
23 May
Al Nasr
2 : 1
Military Union
19 May
Military Union
0 : 0
Al Hilal Benghazi
15 May
Military Union
1 : 1
Al Akhdar
11 May
Al-Afreeki
0 : 1
Military Union
07 May
Al Ahly Benghazi
2 : 1
Military Union
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