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Al Ahed vs Jwayya SC Prediction & H2H Stats

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2025/2026 Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Al Ahed Logo

Al Ahed

2 - 2
FT
Jwayya SC Logo

Jwayya SC

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Antar F.
Assist: Atwi A. E.
44' Event
Dakik H.
50' Event
Farran Z.
Assist: Mhaydle H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Ahed and Jwayya SC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al Ahed
30%
Draws
47%
Jwayya SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jwayya SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ahed come out ahead of Jwayya SC on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 16%
Jwayya SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahed Jwayya SC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Jwayya SC
2:2
Jul 20, 2026 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Al Ahed
2:0
Feb 6, 2026 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Al Ahed
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Jwayya SC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahed Compare

Top Goalscorer Antar F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dakik H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jwayya SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Farran Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fawaz W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahed 36 / 100
Jwayya SC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahed Jwayya SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jwayya SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahed scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Jwayya SC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Jwayya SC let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahed VS Jwayya SC
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahed

(Home)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
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Jwayya SC

(Away)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 27 20 5 2 64:16 39
2 Nejmeh SC 27 17 6 4 50:15 34
3 Jwayya SC 27 12 7 8 37:22 24
4 Al Ahed 27 13 4 10 41:34 23
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