Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahed vs Nejmeh SC

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
El Fadl A.
Assist: Kourani H.
77' Event
Al Haj A.
Assist: Lucumi J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Ahed and Nejmeh SC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nejmeh SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Al Ahed
11%
Draws
80%
Nejmeh SC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Nejmeh SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Nejmeh SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nejmeh SC's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Nejmeh SC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 10%
Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahed Nejmeh SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 19
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Nejmeh SC
0:2
Jun 12, 2026 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al Ahed
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Nejmeh SC
0:4
Jul 3, 2025 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al Ahed
4:1
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al Ahed
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahed Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Nejmeh SC Compare

Top Goalscorer El Fadl A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Haj A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahed 10 / 100
Nejmeh SC 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahed Nejmeh SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahed scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Al Ahed remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Nejmeh SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahed VS Nejmeh SC
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahed

(Home)
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
12 Jul
Al Ansar
3 : 3
Al Ahed
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Ansar
3 : 1
Al Ahed
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Nejmeh SC

(Away)
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
12 Jul
Jwayya SC
0 : 0
Nejmeh SC
08 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 0
Al Hikma
03 Jul
Al Hikma
0 : 1
Nejmeh SC
29 Jun
Nejmeh SC
5 : 0
Racing
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar21105:34
2Nejmeh SC21102:04
3Al Ahed20113:51
4Jwayya SC20110:21
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