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Al Ahed vs Nejmeh SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2025/2026 Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Al Ahed Logo

Al Ahed

0 - 2
FT
Nejmeh SC Logo

Nejmeh SC

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
El Fadl A.
Assist: Kourani H.
77' Event
Al Haj A.
Assist: Lucumi J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Ahed and Nejmeh SC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nejmeh SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Al Ahed
35%
Draws
50%
Nejmeh SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nejmeh SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Nejmeh SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nejmeh SC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Nejmeh SC have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 11%
Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahed Nejmeh SC
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 19
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.45 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al Ahed
2:1
Jul 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Nejmeh SC
0:2
Jun 12, 2026 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al Ahed
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Nejmeh SC
0:4
Jul 3, 2025 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al Ahed
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahed Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Nejmeh SC Compare

Top Goalscorer El Fadl A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Haj A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahed 22 / 100
Nejmeh SC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahed Nejmeh SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nejmeh SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahed scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Al Ahed remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Nejmeh SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahed VS Nejmeh SC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahed

(Home)
09 Oct
Tripoli SC
1 : 1
Al Ahed
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
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Nejmeh SC

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 27 20 5 2 64:16 39
2 Nejmeh SC 27 17 6 4 50:15 34
3 Jwayya SC 27 12 7 8 37:22 24
4 Al Ahed 27 13 4 10 41:34 23
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)