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Al Ahed vs Safa Prediction & H2H Stats

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2025/2026 Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Al Ahed Logo

Al Ahed

1 - 2
FT
Safa Logo

Safa

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Dwek A.
62' Event
Mehanna H.
Assist: Zain Tahhan M.
83' Event
Zbib M.
Assist: Atwi A. E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Safa in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Safa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Al Ahed
30%
Draws
58%
Safa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Safa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Safa haven't matched Al Ahed's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Safa's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 13%
Safa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahed Safa
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Safa
4:1
May 18, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Safa
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Al Ahed
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Safa
1:1
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Safa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahed Compare

Top Goalscorer Zbib M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Safa Compare

Top Goalscorer Dwek A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mehanna H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahed 11 / 100
Safa 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahed Safa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Safa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Ahed scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Safa let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Ahed stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahed VS Safa
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahed

(Home)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
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Safa

(Away)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
2 Al Ahed 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Safa 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nejmeh SC 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Jwayya SC 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Al Hikma 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Placement Play Offs)