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Al Ahli 2 vs Al-Gharafa 2

Qatar Qatar

Division 2 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli 2 in this Division 2 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahli 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Ahli 2
20%
Draws
29%
Al-Gharafa 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahli 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahli 2 lately — more wins on the board than Al-Gharafa 2.
  • Al-Gharafa 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Ahli 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Gharafa 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli 2 Al-Gharafa 2
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.48 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2016 QSL 2
Al Ahli 2 vs Al-Gharafa 2
0:0
Dec 15, 2015 QSL 2
Al Ahli 2 vs Al-Gharafa 2
1:1
Apr 13, 2015 QSL 2
Al Ahli 2 vs Al-Gharafa 2
2:1
Apr 7, 2014 QSL 2
Al-Gharafa 2 vs Al Ahli 2
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 2 10 / 100
Al-Gharafa 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli 2 Al-Gharafa 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Gharafa 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Gharafa 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Al Ahli 2 found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Ahli 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli 2 VS Al-Gharafa 2
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 3.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli 2

(Home)
02 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar) 2
0 : 1
Al Ahli 2
24 Mar
Al-Duhail 2
0 : 0
Al Ahli 2
04 Mar
Al Ahli 2
1 : 7
Al Muaidar 2
11 Feb
Qatar SC
7 : 0
Al Ahli 2
04 Feb
Al Ahli 2
5 : 2
Al Khor 2
Page 1 of 7

Al-Gharafa 2

(Away)
07 Sept
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 1
Muaither SC
30 Aug
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Bidda
1 : 1
Al-Gharafa 2
04 Mar
Umm-Salal 2
1 : 2
Al-Gharafa 2
03 Apr
Al-Gharafa 2
1 : 6
Al Markhiya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 17 16 0 1 87:13 48
2 Al Mesaimeer 17 14 2 1 67:23 44
3 Muaither SC 17 13 1 3 55:18 40
4 Al Markhiya 17 9 4 4 37:31 31
5 Al-Gharafa 2 17 8 4 5 43:36 28
6 Al-Sadd 2 17 7 5 5 36:35 26
7 Al-Kharitiyath 2 17 7 3 7 34:47 24
8 Al-Duhail 2 17 7 1 9 43:32 22
9 Al Arabi (Qatar) 2 17 6 4 7 37:33 22
10 Umm-Salal 2 17 5 5 7 32:38 20
11 Al Jaish 2 17 5 4 8 39:52 19
12 Al Ahli 2 17 5 4 8 24:41 19
13 Shamal 2 17 5 3 9 16:38 18
14 Al Wakra 2 17 4 5 8 25:35 17
15 Al Sailiya 2 17 5 1 11 29:48 16
16 Qatar SC 2 17 4 3 10 27:36 15
17 Al-Shahaniya 2 17 3 3 11 26:44 12
18 Al Khor 2 17 3 2 12 21:78 11
Promotion - QSL 2015/2016 (Main)