Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahli SC vs Al Hazem Rass

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Sub
Varela B. In: Zaied I.
Out: Varela B.
36'
Al Johani Z.
40'
Al Nakhli A.

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli SC in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahli SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al Ahli SC
17%
Draws
13%
Al Hazem Rass
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Ahli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahli SC lately — more wins on the board than Al Hazem Rass.
  • Model gives Al Ahli SC a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Ahli SC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 68%
Al Hazem Rass Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli SC Al Hazem Rass
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 23 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Hazem Rass
2:0
Sep 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Hazem Rass vs Al Ahli SC
0:2
Dec 22, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Hazem Rass vs Al Ahli SC
0:4
Aug 11, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Hazem Rass
3:1
May 29, 2023 Division 1
Al Hazem Rass vs Al Ahli SC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Toney I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Al Hazem Rass Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli SC 77 / 100
Al Hazem Rass 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli SC Al Hazem Rass

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli SC's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Al Hazem Rass let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al Ahli SC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli SC VS Al Hazem Rass
1.88 Goals Scored 1.17
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli SC

(Home)
19 Jul
Rio Ave
2 : 2
Al Ahli SC
15 Jul
Holstein Kiel
4 : 1
Al Ahli SC
20 May
Al Khaleej
1 : 4
Al Ahli SC
16 May
Al Ahli SC
3 : 0
Al Kholood
11 May
Al Taawon
1 : 2
Al Ahli SC
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Al Hazem Rass

(Away)
21 May
Al Hazem Rass
2 : 0
Al Taawon
14 May
Al Qadsiah
2 : 0
Al Hazem Rass
09 May
Al Najma
2 : 2
Al Hazem Rass
02 May
Al Hazem Rass
0 : 3
Al Hilal
28 Apr
Neom SC
1 : 1
Al Hazem Rass
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2026/2027 (Main)