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Al Ahli SC vs Al Hilal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

King Cup 2025/2026 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Al Ahli SC Logo

Al Ahli SC

Wed, Mar 18, 2026
1 - 2
07:00 PM
Al Hilal Logo

Al Hilal

Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Hernandez T.
Assist: Benzema K.
44'
Majrashi A.
63'
Sub
Lajami A. In: Tambakti H.
Out: Lajami A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Al Hilal advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Ahli SC
15%
Draws
54%
Al Hilal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Hilal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Hilal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Al Hilal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Hilal, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 11%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli SC Al Hilal
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 15 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.79 2.46
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Ahli SC
3:0
Mar 18, 2026 King Cup
Al Ahli SC vs Al Hilal
1:2
Feb 2, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Ahli SC
0:0
Sep 19, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Hilal
3:3
Apr 29, 2025 AFC Champions League
Al Hilal vs Al Ahli SC
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Al Hilal Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli SC 30 / 100
Al Hilal 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli SC Al Hilal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli SC's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Al Ahli SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Hilal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 26 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli SC VS Al Hilal
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli SC

(Home)
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1
Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6

Al Hilal

(Away)
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0
Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Batin 3
Al Ettifaq FC 2
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 0
Al Ahli SC 5
Al Orubah 1
Al Qadsiah 3
Al Hazem Rass 2
Neom SC 1
Al Raed 0
Al Okhdood 1
Al Adalah 0
Al Hilal 1
Al Jabalain 1
Al Fateh 2
Al Jubail 0
Al Riyadh 1
Al Bukiryah 1
Al Kholood 2
Al Najma 2
Damac 1
Al Taee 0
Al Khaleej 5
Al Faisaly 0
Al Taawon 4
Jeddah Club 0
Al Nassr 4
Al Wehda 0
Al Ittihad 1
Abha 2
Al Shabab 3
Al Zulfi 1
Al Fayha 0
1/8-finals
Al Batin 0
Al Ahli SC 3
Al Qadsiah 3
Al Hazem Rass 1
Al Okhdood 0
Al Hilal 1
Al Fateh 2
Al Riyadh 0
Al Kholood 1
Al Najma 0
Al Khaleej 2
Al Taawon 1
Al Nassr 1
Al Ittihad 2
Al Shabab 1
Al Zulfi 0
Quarter-finals
Al Ahli SC 4
Al Qadsiah 3
Al Hilal 4
Al Fateh 1
Al Kholood 4
Al Khaleej 3
Al Ittihad 4
Al Shabab 1
Semi-finals
Al Ahli SC 1
Al Hilal 2
Al Kholood 3
Al Ittihad 2
Final
Al Hilal 2
Al Kholood 1