Sport Picks
Al Ahli SC vs Al Nassr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah 
AI Match Summary
Al Ahli SC host Al Nassr in the Saudi Professional League. This one's hard to separate. Al Nassr have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Al Ahli SC have conceded 1.08 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Al Ahli SC slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.25) point toward Al Nassr. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Al Nassr average 2.42 goals a game right now, well clear of Al Ahli SC's 2.
- Win probability leans Al Ahli SC's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ahli SC | Al Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 33 |
| Wins | 24 | 24 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 2.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.08 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Ahli SC's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 38 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Al Ahli SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Al Nassr conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ahli SC
(Home)Al Nassr
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Al Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | 15 |
| 6 | Al Ahli SC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Al Kholood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Ettifaq FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem Rass | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Fateh | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Al Faisaly | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | 2 |
