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Al Ahli SC vs Auckland FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

FIFA Intercontinental Cup King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Sakai H.
48'
Sub
Sakai H. In: Elliot C.
Out: Sakai H.
57'
De Vries F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Ahli SC
15%
Draws
39%
Auckland FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ahli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ahli SC have won more games recently than Auckland FC.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahli SC taking it.
  • Al Ahli SC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ahli SC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 20%
Auckland FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli SC Auckland FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.89 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 FIFA Intercontinental Cup
Al Ahli SC vs Auckland FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Al Shamat S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Auckland FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli SC 76 / 100
Auckland FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli SC Auckland FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli SC's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Auckland FC conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Al Ahli SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Auckland FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli SC VS Auckland FC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli SC

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4
Al Ahli SC
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1
Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 6

Auckland FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Auckland FC
1 : 3
Western Sydney Wanderers
26 Aug
Al Ahli SC
1 : 0
Auckland FC
26 Jul
Auckland FC
0 : 2
Tottenham
23 May
Auckland FC
1 : 0
Sydney FC
15 May
Adelaide Utd
0 : 3
Auckland FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toluca -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
TBD -
Al Ahli SC 1
Auckland FC 0
Quarter-finals
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toluca -
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns 2
Al Ahli SC 1
Semi-finals
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Final
PSG -
TBD -