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Al Ahli SC vs Vitoria Guimaraes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Samu
13' Event
Thiago Balieiro
25' Event
Maga

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Al Ahli SC and Vitoria Guimaraes finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitoria Guimaraes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Al Ahli SC
30%
Draws
29%
Vitoria Guimaraes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ahli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ahli SC come out ahead of Vitoria Guimaraes on wins alone.
  • Al Ahli SC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli SC Vitoria Guimaraes
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.89 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Al Ahli SC vs Vitoria Guimaraes
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Goncalves
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Vitoria Guimaraes Compare

Top Goalscorer Samu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thiago Balieiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli SC 67 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli SC Vitoria Guimaraes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli SC found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Vitoria Guimaraes has conceded goals in 64% of their last 25 outings.

Recent resilience: Al Ahli SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli SC VS Vitoria Guimaraes
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli SC

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4
Al Ahli SC
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1
Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
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Vitoria Guimaraes

(Away)
25 Sept
Chaves
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1
Moreirense
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0
Casa Pia
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes
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