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Al Ahli SC vs Vitoria Guimaraes

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli SC host Vitoria Guimaraes in the Club Friendly. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Al Ahli SC at 2.38 goals for, 1.38 against; Vitoria Guimaraes at 1.63 for, 1.13 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.75 - 1.50) back Al Ahli SC to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al Ahli SC
44%
Draws
20%
Vitoria Guimaraes
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ahli SC come out ahead of Vitoria Guimaraes on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 16%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli SC Vitoria Guimaraes
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 20 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli SC 36 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli SC Vitoria Guimaraes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli SC found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Vitoria Guimaraes conceded in 72% of 25 recent games.

Al Ahli SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vitoria Guimaraes's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli SC VS Vitoria Guimaraes
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli SC

(Home)
19 Jul
Rio Ave
2 : 2
Al Ahli SC
15 Jul
Holstein Kiel
4 : 1
Al Ahli SC
20 May
Al Khaleej
1 : 4
Al Ahli SC
16 May
Al Ahli SC
3 : 0
Al Kholood
11 May
Al Taawon
1 : 2
Al Ahli SC
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Vitoria Guimaraes

(Away)
18 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
2 : 0
Academica
18 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
5 : 0
Penafiel
11 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
3 : 1
FC Felgueiras
16 May
Nacional
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes
11 May
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 1
Casa Pia
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