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Al Ahli vs Al Ittifaq - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
72'
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Ahli and Al Ittifaq finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ittifaq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Ahli
20%
Draws
51%
Al Ittifaq
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ittifaq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ahli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Ahli have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ittifaq Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Al Ittifaq
Matches Played 35 26
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.51 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al Ittifaq
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 King's Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Ittifaq
3:2
Feb 1, 2025 King's Cup
Al Ittifaq vs Al Ahli
1:2
Mar 20, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Ittifaq
1:0
Feb 1, 2022 Bahrain Cup
Al Ittifaq vs Al Ahli
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 32 / 100
Al Ittifaq 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Al Ittifaq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ittifaq's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Al Ahli found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (35 games).

Al Ahli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Al Ittifaq
1.13 Goals Scored 0.83
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.83
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 2
Al Ittifaq
05 Sept
Al Hidd
0 : 1
Al Ahli
28 Aug
Al Muharraq
1 : 1
Al Ahli
15 May
Al Budaiya
2 : 2
Al Ahli
11 May
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Hidd
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Al Ittifaq

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 2
Al Ittifaq
04 Sept
Al Ittifaq
1 : 0
Al Muharraq
29 Aug
Al Riffa
2 : 0
Al Ittifaq
07 Mar
Al Ahli
3 : 2
Al Ittifaq
03 Feb
Al Ittifaq
2 : 0
Sitra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Khalidiyah 4 2 2 0 12:5 8
2 Al Riffa 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
3 Al Ittifaq 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
4 Sitra 3 1 2 0 3:0 5
5 Al Muharraq 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
6 Al Hidd 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
7 Al Ahli 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
8 Aali Club 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
9 East Riffa 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
10 Al Najma 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
11 Malkia 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
12 Manama Club 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)