Sport Picks
Al Ahli vs Al Ittifaq Prediction & H2H Stats
Bahrain
King's Cup 
Match Events
12'
12'
21'
21'
28'
28'
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ittifaq
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Ahli come out ahead of Al Ittifaq on wins alone.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Al Ahli have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Al Ahli, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al Ahli have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ittifaq Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ahli | Al Ittifaq |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 42 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al Ittifaq
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 King's Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Ittifaq
3:2
Feb 1, 2025 King's Cup
Al Ittifaq vs Al Ahli
1:2
Mar 20, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Ittifaq
1:0
Feb 1, 2022 Bahrain Cup
Al Ittifaq vs Al Ahli
1:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Ahli 32 / 100
Al Ittifaq 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Ahli Al Ittifaq
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ittifaq Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Al Ahli's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 42 recent games.
Al Ittifaq let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Al Ahli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Ahli VS Al Ittifaq
1.13 Goals Scored 1.17
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.83
50% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ahli
(Home) 12 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 2 Al Ittifaq
05 Sept
Al Hidd
0 : 1 Al Ahli
28 Aug
Al Muharraq
1 : 1 Al Ahli
15 May
Al Budaiya
2 : 2 Al Ahli
11 May
Al Ahli
0 : 1 Al Hidd
Page 1 of 9
12 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 2 Al Ittifaq
11 May
Al Ahli
0 : 1 Al Hidd
29 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 3 Al Riffa
04 Apr
Al Ahli
0 : 0 Malkia
07 Mar
Al Ahli
3 : 2 Al Ittifaq
Page 1 of 4
Al Ittifaq
(Away) 12 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 2 Al Ittifaq
04 Sept
Al Ittifaq
1 : 0 Al Muharraq
29 Aug
Al Riffa
2 : 0 Al Ittifaq
07 Mar
Al Ahli
3 : 2 Al Ittifaq
03 Feb
Al Ittifaq
2 : 0 Sitra
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 2 Al Ittifaq
29 Aug
Al Riffa
2 : 0 Al Ittifaq
07 Mar
Al Ahli
3 : 2 Al Ittifaq
11 Jan
Al Ittihad
1 : 5 Al Ittifaq
23 Jan
Al Shabbab
2 : 1 Al Ittifaq
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Al Khalidiyah -
TBD -
Umm Al Hassam 0
Al Hala 2
Aali Club -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Najma -
Bahrain SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Hidd -
East Riffa 1
Manama Club 2
TBD -
Al Riffa -
Al Muharraq -
TBD -
Isa Town 3
Al Reef 2
Al Shabbab -
TBD -
TBD -
Malkia -
Al Budaiya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Ahli -
Al Ittihad 1
Al Ittifaq 5
TBD -
Sitra -
1/8-finals
Al Khalidiyah 7
Al Hala 0
Aali Club 2
Al Najma 0
Bahrain SC 1
Al Hidd 0
Manama Club 2
Al Riffa 3
Al Muharraq 6
Isa Town 0
Al Shabbab 2
Malkia 1
Al Budaiya 0
Al Ahli 1
Al Ittifaq 2
Sitra 0
Quarter-finals
Al Khalidiyah 2
Aali Club 0
Bahrain SC 1
Al Riffa 4
Al Muharraq 3
Al Shabbab 0
Al Ahli 3
Al Ittifaq 2
Semi-finals
Al Khalidiyah 3
Al Riffa 4
Al Muharraq 2
Al Ahli 1
Final
Al Riffa 1
Al Muharraq 2
