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Al Ahli vs Al Ittihad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Yemen Yemen

Division 1 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2023 game between Al Ahli and Al Ittihad finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al Ahli
35%
Draws
28%
Al Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ahli come out ahead of Al Ittihad on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahli taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Ahli have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Al Ittihad
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 18 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.19 0.64
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Al Ittihad
4:0
Dec 29, 2023 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Al Ittihad
1:0
Oct 7, 2023 Division 1
Al Ittihad vs Al Ahli
0:1
Jan 9, 2015 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Al Ittihad
5:3
Sep 5, 2014 Division 1
Al Ittihad vs Al Ahli
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 85 / 100
Al Ittihad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Al Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Al Ahli has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Ahli's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Al Ittihad let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Al Ittihad
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
20 Aug
Al Baydaa
0 : 2
Al Ahli
12 Aug
Al Ahli
4 : 0
Al Ittihad
06 Aug
Al Ahli
0 : 0
Al Shabab Hadramaut
24 Jul
Ittihad Hadramout
0 : 0
Al Ahli
16 Jul
Al Yarmuk
1 : 1
Al Ahli
Page 1 of 8

Al Ittihad

(Away)
21 Aug
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Shabab Hadramaut
12 Aug
Al Ahli
4 : 0
Al Ittihad
07 Aug
Al Ittihad
2 : 2
Al Yarmuk
23 Jul
Al Baydaa
0 : 1
Al Ittihad
17 Jul
Al Ittihad
0 : 2
Tadamone Hadramout
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahli 10 8 1 1 21:2 25
2 Tadamone Hadramout 10 5 3 2 14:10 18
3 Al Oruba 10 3 4 3 13:10 13
4 Al Ittihad 10 3 2 5 8:12 11
5 Al Hilal 10 2 5 3 5:14 11
6 Samaon 10 1 1 8 6:19 4
7 Al Saqr 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 1 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wahda 10 6 3 1 13:8 21
2 Al Shabab Hadramaut 10 5 3 2 16:10 18
3 Fhman 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
4 Salam 10 3 2 5 13:13 11
5 Al Rawda 10 3 2 5 7:17 11
6 Al Shaab Ibb 10 2 2 6 13:19 8
7 Taliat Taiz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 1 2023 (Play Offs)