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Al Ahli vs Al Salt

Jordan Jordan

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Al Naeem H.
79' Event
Al Azzam A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Ahli and Al Salt finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Al Ahli
35%
Draws
30%
Al Salt
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Salt come out ahead of Al Ahli on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 19%
Al Salt Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Al Salt
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al Salt
1:1
Feb 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al Salt
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Shield Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Salt
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 Premier League
Al Salt vs Al Ahli
2:0
Feb 21, 2025 Premier League
Al Salt vs Al Ahli
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Naeem H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Salt Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Azzam A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 36 / 100
Al Salt 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Al Salt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Salt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al Salt let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Al Ahli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Al Salt
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
08 May
Al Wehdat
2 : 0
Al Ahli
04 May
Al Ahli
2 : 1
Al Buqaa
24 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 2
Al-Faisaly Amman
14 Apr
Sama Al Sarhan
2 : 3
Al Ahli
08 Apr
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Hussein
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Al Salt

(Away)
17 Sept
Doqarah
2 : 0
Al Salt
12 Sept
Al Salt
0 : 0
Al Wehdat
05 Sept
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan)
1 : 3
Al Salt
07 May
Al Jazeera Amman
1 : 1
Al Salt
03 May
Al Salt
1 : 1
Al Wehdat
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hussein 27 19 5 3 70:17 62
2 Al-Faisaly Amman 27 17 5 5 52:25 56
3 Al Wehdat 27 16 6 5 45:19 54
4 Al Ramtha 27 13 9 5 40:26 48
5 Al Salt 27 9 7 11 33:35 34
6 Al Jazeera Amman 27 8 7 12 28:45 31
7 Shabab Al Ordon 27 7 8 12 22:37 29
8 Al Buqaa 27 7 7 13 41:66 28
9 Al Ahli 27 5 9 13 26:44 24
10 Sama Al Sarhan 27 1 3 23 15:58 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)