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Al Ahli vs Al Shahaniya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Mussed A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Ahli
20%
Draws
40%
Al Shahaniya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Al Shahaniya have won more games recently than Al Ahli.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Al Shahaniya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Shahaniya, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 11%
Al Shahaniya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Al Shahaniya
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.66 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Shahaniya
0:1
Feb 27, 2026 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Shahaniya
1:2
Sep 26, 2025 QSL
Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli
1:2
May 13, 2025 Emir Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Shahaniya
2:1
Apr 4, 2025 QSL
Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Shahaniya Compare

Top Goalscorer Mussed A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 30 / 100
Al Shahaniya 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Al Shahaniya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shahaniya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Ahli scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Al Shahaniya has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Ahli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Al Shahaniya
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
10 Oct
Al Ahli
5 : 0
Al Sailiya
29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1
Al Ahli
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Shahaniya
11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Al Ahli
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
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Al Shahaniya

(Away)
10 Oct
Al Shahaniya
1 : 0
Lusail
28 Sept
Al Shahaniya
1 : 3
Al Duhail
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Shahaniya
12 Sept
Al Duhail
1 : 1
Al Shahaniya
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al Shahaniya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamal 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Al Duhail 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Umm-Salal 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Qatar SC 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 Al Wakra 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Lusail 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Al Waab 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
8 Al Gharafa 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
9 Muaither SC 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
10 Al Shahaniya 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 Al Rayyan 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Al Sailiya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 Al Ahli 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Al Markhiya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Al Kharitiyath 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Al Arabi (Qatar) 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 Al Mesaimeer 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
18 Al Khor 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
19 Al Bidda 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - QSL Cup (Main)