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Al Ahli vs Duhok - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Gulf Club Champions League 2024/2025 Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Al Ahli Logo

Al Ahli

0 - 3
FT
Duhok Logo

Duhok

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Othman B.
Assist: Gwargis P.
32'
Zakri Y.
45'
Mahross H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gulf Club Champions League 2024/2025 game between Al Ahli and Duhok finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Duhok.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Al Ahli
35%
Draws
31%
Duhok
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ahli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Ahli's way, sitting at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Gulf Club Champions League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Duhok Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahli Duhok
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2025 Gulf Club Champions League
Al Ahli vs Duhok
0:3
Oct 22, 2024 Gulf Club Champions League
Duhok vs Al Ahli
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Duhok Compare

Top Goalscorer Othman B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahli 49 / 100
Duhok 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahli Duhok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Al Ahli found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Duhok conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahli VS Duhok
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahli

(Home)
20 Aug
Al Baydaa
0 : 2
Al Ahli
12 Aug
Al Ahli
4 : 0
Al Ittihad
06 Aug
Al Ahli
0 : 0
Al Shabab Hadramaut
24 Jul
Ittihad Hadramout
0 : 0
Al Ahli
16 Jul
Al Yarmuk
1 : 1
Al Ahli
Page 1 of 6

Duhok

(Away)
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0
Al Zawraa
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 6 4 2 0 14:7 14
2 Duhok 6 2 3 1 10:6 9
3 Dhofar 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
4 Al Ahli 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2024/2025 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ettifaq FC 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
2 Al Qadisiya 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
3 Al Riffa 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2024/2025 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)