Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Ahly Merowe vs Al-Merreikh II

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al-Ahly Merowe and Al-Merreikh II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Merreikh II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Al-Ahly Merowe
6%
Draws
90%
Al-Merreikh II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Merreikh II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Merreikh II come out ahead of Al-Ahly Merowe on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Al-Merreikh II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Al-Ahly Merowe Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Merreikh II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ahly Merowe Al-Merreikh II
Matches Played 27 17
Wins 4 12
Draws 13 4
Losses 10 1
Goals Scored 0.57 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.57 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.86 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Al-Merreikh II vs Al-Ahly Merowe
0:0
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Al-Merreikh II
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ahly Merowe 10 / 100
Al-Merreikh II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ahly Merowe Al-Merreikh II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Merreikh II let in goals in 71% of their last 17 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Al-Ahly Merowe has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al-Ahly Merowe scored in 44% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ahly Merowe VS Al-Merreikh II
0.57 Goals Scored 1.38
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.5
43% Over 1.5 50%
14% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010