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Al Ahly Merowe vs Al Merreikh II Prediction & H2H Stats

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Ahly Merowe and Al Merreikh II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Merreikh II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Al Ahly Merowe
35%
Draws
49%
Al Merreikh II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Merreikh II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Merreikh II come out ahead of Al Ahly Merowe on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Al Merreikh II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Al Ahly Merowe Clean Sheet 20%
Al Merreikh II Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahly Merowe Al Merreikh II
Matches Played 27 17
Wins 4 12
Draws 13 4
Losses 10 1
Goals Scored 0.59 2.12
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.53 1.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Al Merreikh II vs Al Ahly Merowe
0:0
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahly Merowe vs Al Merreikh II
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahly Merowe 10 / 100
Al Merreikh II 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahly Merowe Al Merreikh II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Merreikh II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Al Ahly Merowe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Al Ahly Merowe scored in 44% of their last 27 outings.

Al Merreikh II let in goals in 53% of their last 17 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahly Merowe VS Al Merreikh II
0.57 Goals Scored 1.38
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.5
43% Over 1.5 50%
14% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahly Merowe

(Home)
13 Feb
Alfalah Atbra
1 : 0
Al Ahly Merowe
07 Feb
Al Saham Ad Damer
0 : 0
Al Ahly Merowe
03 Feb
Al Ahly Merowe
1 : 1
Alamal SC Atbara
30 Jan
Al Merreikh II
0 : 0
Al Ahly Merowe
26 Jan
Al Hilal Karima
2 : 2
Al Ahly Merowe
Page 1 of 6

Al Merreikh II

(Away)
10 Jun
Al Hilal Omdurman II
1 : 0
Al Merreikh II
06 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
0 : 1
Al Merreikh II
01 Jun
Al Merreikh II
4 : 0
Hay Al Wadi
29 May
Al Merreikh II
6 : 0
Alfalah Atbra
23 May
Al Merreikh II
2 : 0
Hilal El-Fasher
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal Omdurman II 10 6 4 0 17:5 22
2 Hilal Alsahil 10 5 4 1 13:6 19
3 Al Shorta 10 3 4 3 8:6 13
4 Al Taqadom 10 2 5 3 12:14 11
5 Al Mergheni 10 0 7 3 9:14 7
6 Kober 10 1 2 7 3:17 5
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Madani 10 10 0 0 24:6 30
2 Umm Mughad 10 5 3 2 18:8 18
3 Al Hilal Manaqil 10 3 5 2 10:7 14
4 Rabita Kosti 10 3 1 6 7:14 10
5 Ahli Khartoum 10 1 3 6 7:21 6
6 Merikh Kosti 10 1 2 7 7:17 5
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Merreikh II 10 6 4 0 15:7 22
2 Alfalah Atbra 10 3 4 3 5:4 13
3 Al Saham Ad Damer 10 2 6 2 10:9 12
4 Al Hilal Karima 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
5 Alamal SC Atbara 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
6 Al Ahly Merowe 10 1 6 3 6:8 9
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hilal El-Fasher 10 5 4 1 11:7 19
2 Hay Al Wadi 10 4 3 3 14:13 15
3 Haidob Al Nuhod 10 4 3 3 13:8 15
4 Al Fajr 10 3 3 4 16:18 12
5 Zamala Ruwaba 10 3 2 5 11:13 11
6 Al Merreikh Obeid 10 3 1 6 14:20 10
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)