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Al-Ahly Merowe vs Alamal SC Atbara

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Ahly Merowe in this Premier League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Ahly Merowe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al-Ahly Merowe
20%
Draws
38%
Alamal SC Atbara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Ahly Merowe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Ahly Merowe haven't matched Alamal SC Atbara's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al-Ahly Merowe's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Premier League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Al-Ahly Merowe Clean Sheet 20%
Alamal SC Atbara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ahly Merowe Alamal SC Atbara
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 4 9
Draws 13 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Alamal SC Atbara
1:1
Jan 15, 2026 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Al-Ahly Merowe
0:1
Apr 6, 2023 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Alamal SC Atbara
3:1
Nov 24, 2022 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Al-Ahly Merowe
1:1
Jun 29, 2022 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Alamal SC Atbara
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ahly Merowe 42 / 100
Alamal SC Atbara 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ahly Merowe Alamal SC Atbara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alamal SC Atbara let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Al-Ahly Merowe has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al-Ahly Merowe's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ahly Merowe VS Alamal SC Atbara
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman20172155:1253
2Al-Merreikh19153133:848
3Hay al-Arab26146639:2648
4Haidob Al Nuhod28136932:2645
5Ahli Khartoum28109935:2939
6Hilal El-Fasher291081131:3138
7Hay Al Wadi24108629:2738
8Alamal SC Atbara261051124:2835
9Al Shorta271051228:3435
10Kober29981232:3735
11Hilal Alsahil26810825:2834
12Wad Nobawi27614720:2432
13Alfalah Atbra25611821:1929
14Ahli Shendi26771214:2628
15Tuti27761426:3827
16Al-Ahly Merowe274131019:3625
17Al Zoma284101422:4022
18Rabita Kosti26571416:3222