Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025 game between Al-Ahly Merowe and Kober finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Ahly Merowe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Kober carry the better recent record into this one.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Al-Ahly Merowe taking it.
- Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Al-Ahly Merowe Clean Sheet 20%
Kober Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Ahly Merowe | Kober |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 13 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.59 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 30, 2025 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Kober
1:0
Jan 21, 2025 Premier League
Kober vs Al-Ahly Merowe
1:0
Mar 17, 2023 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Kober
2:2
Nov 3, 2022 Premier League
Kober vs Al-Ahly Merowe
1:2
Jul 12, 2022 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Kober
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Ahly Merowe 58 / 100
Kober 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Ahly Merowe Kober
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al-Ahly Merowe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kober has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Al-Ahly Merowe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Difficult form: Kober registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al-Ahly Merowe VS Kober
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Ahly Merowe
(Home) 13 Feb
Alfalah Atbra
1 : 0 Al-Ahly Merowe
07 Feb
Al Saham Ad Damer
0 : 0 Al-Ahly Merowe
03 Feb
Al-Ahly Merowe
1 : 1 Alamal SC Atbara
30 Jan
Al-Merreikh II
0 : 0 Al-Ahly Merowe
26 Jan
Al Hilal Karima
2 : 2 Al-Ahly Merowe
Page 1 of 6
03 Feb
Al-Ahly Merowe
1 : 1 Alamal SC Atbara
22 Jan
Al-Ahly Merowe
0 : 1 Alfalah Atbra
19 Jan
Al-Ahly Merowe
1 : 1 Al Saham Ad Damer
11 Jan
Al-Ahly Merowe
1 : 2 Al-Merreikh II
08 Jan
Al-Ahly Merowe
0 : 0 Al Hilal Karima
Page 1 of 4
Kober
(Away) 14 Feb
Al Shorta
1 : 0 Kober
10 Feb
Kober
1 : 0 Al Taqadom
07 Feb
Kober
0 : 0 Al-Mergheni
04 Feb
Kober
0 : 1 Hilal Alsahil
01 Feb
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
5 : 1 Kober
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14 Feb
Al Shorta
1 : 0 Kober
01 Feb
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
5 : 1 Kober
27 Jan
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
1 : 0 Kober
19 Jan
Al Taqadom
1 : 0 Kober
14 Jan
Al-Mergheni
1 : 1 Kober
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Mergheni | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Hilal Alsahil | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 3 | Al Shorta | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Al Hilal Manaqil | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 5 | Hay al-Arab | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 6 | Wad Nobawi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Merreikh Obeid | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 19 |
| 2 | Zamala Ruwaba | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | 17 |
| 3 | Rabita Kosti | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Hilal El-Fasher | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 5 | Haidob Al Nuhod | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 6 | Merikh Nyala | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hay Al Wadi | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Umm Mughad | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Al-Ahly Merowe | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Kober | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Al Zoma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Tuti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madani | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Alamal SC Atbara | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Ahli Khartoum | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 4 | Alfalah Atbra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 5 | Ahli Shendi | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2:7 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
