Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahly Tripoli vs Asswehly

Libya Libya

Premier League Tripoli International Stadium, Tripoli
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Ahly Tripoli and Asswehly finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Al Ahly Tripoli
30%
Draws
38%
Asswehly
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Asswehly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ahly Tripoli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Al Ahly Tripoli Clean Sheet 19%
Asswehly Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahly Tripoli Asswehly
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 24 20
Draws 7 7
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 2.12 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.52 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Asswehly
0:0
Apr 23, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Asswehly
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Premier League
Asswehly vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:0
Aug 6, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Asswehly
3:0
Jun 10, 2025 Premier League
Asswehly vs Al Ahly Tripoli
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahly Tripoli 32 / 100
Asswehly 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahly Tripoli Asswehly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asswehly Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahly Tripoli found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).

Solid form: Al Ahly Tripoli remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Asswehly let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahly Tripoli VS Asswehly
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahly Tripoli

(Home)
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0
Asswehly
20 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 1
Olympic Azzaweya
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
10 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Misurata
07 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 0
Al Ahly Tripoli
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Asswehly

(Away)
06 Jun
Asswehly
2 : 1
Al Nasr
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0
Asswehly
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3
Asswehly
14 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Asswehly
10 May
Asswehly
3 : 1
Olympic Azzaweya
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