Sport Picks
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Asswehly
Libya
Premier League 2025/2026 Tripoli International Stadium, Tripoli 
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Ahly Tripoli and Asswehly finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asswehly.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Ahly Tripoli carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Al Ahly Tripoli Clean Sheet 19%
Asswehly Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ahly Tripoli | Asswehly |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 31 |
| Wins | 31 | 21 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.3 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.4 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Asswehly
0:0
Apr 23, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Asswehly
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Premier League
Asswehly vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:0
Aug 6, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Asswehly
3:0
Jun 10, 2025 Premier League
Asswehly vs Al Ahly Tripoli
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Ahly Tripoli 31 / 100
Asswehly 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Ahly Tripoli Asswehly
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ahly Tripoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al Ahly Tripoli scored in 90% of their last 40 outings.
Al Ahly Tripoli went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Asswehly has conceded goals in 45% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Ahly Tripoli VS Asswehly
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ahly Tripoli
(Home) 12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0 KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0 Asswehly
20 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 1 Olympic Azzaweya
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1 Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 8
12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0 KMKM
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0 Asswehly
20 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 1 Olympic Azzaweya
10 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 0 Al Ittihad Misurata
23 Apr
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 2 Asswehly
Page 1 of 5
Asswehly
(Away) 13 Sept
KVZ
0 : 3 Asswehly
04 Sept
Asswehly
1 : 0 KVZ
06 Jun
Asswehly
2 : 1 Al Nasr
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0 Asswehly
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3 Asswehly
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
KVZ
0 : 3 Asswehly
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0 Asswehly
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3 Asswehly
14 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1 Asswehly
23 Apr
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 2 Asswehly
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 47:9 | 47 |
| 2 | Asswehly | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 35:9 | 43 |
| 3 | Al Madina | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 23:22 | 28 |
| 4 | Al Watan | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14:18 | 23 |
| 5 | Assabah | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 12:18 | 22 |
| 6 | Al Malaab El Libby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 7 | Al-Khmes | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Al Qadisiyah | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 11:24 | 19 |
| 9 | Al Dahra | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Abu Salim | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13:30 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ittihad | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 35:9 | 42 |
| 2 | Olympic Azzaweya | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Al-Majd | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Al Shomooa | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:19 | 22 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ghar | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:27 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Tirsana | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15:23 | 16 |
| 8 | Ittihad Gharyan | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:25 | 10 |
| 9 | Abi Al Ashar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9:32 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Military Union | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 26:9 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 23:6 | 33 |
| 4 | Al Taawun | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Darnes | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Al Sadaqa | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:17 | 19 |
| 7 | Al-Anwar | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 8 | Al Borouq | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7:21 | 10 |
| 9 | Al-Suqoor | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13:35 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nasr | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 28:7 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Akhdar | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 28 |
| 3 | Al-Afreeki | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:18 | 23 |
| 4 | Al Tahaddi | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Khaleej Sirte | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:22 | 19 |
| 6 | Wefaq Ajdabiya | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Murooj SC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 8 | Al-Andalus | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
