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Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra Prediction & H2H Stats

Egypt Egypt

Super Cup Hazza bin Zayed Stadium, Al Ain
Al Ahly Logo

Al Ahly

2 - 1
FT
Ceramica Cleopatra Logo

Ceramica Cleopatra

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Trezeguet
Assist: Sayed A.
41' Event
Otaka M.
Assist: Belhadji A.
52' Event
Gradisar N.
Assist: Bencharki A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Al Ahly
15%
Draws
41%
Ceramica Cleopatra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ahly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ahly carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahly taking it.
  • Al Ahly have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ahly, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al Ahly have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Al Ahly Clean Sheet 20%
Ceramica Cleopatra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahly Ceramica Cleopatra
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Premier League
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Al Ahly
1:1
Dec 19, 2025 League Cup
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Al Ahly
0:1
Nov 6, 2025 Super Cup
Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra
2:1
Sep 19, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahly vs Ceramica Cleopatra
1:0
May 13, 2025 Premier League
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Al Ahly
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahly Compare

Top Goalscorer Trezeguet
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gradisar N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ceramica Cleopatra Compare

Top Goalscorer Otaka M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahly 36 / 100
Ceramica Cleopatra 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahly Ceramica Cleopatra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Ahly scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Al Ahly stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ceramica Cleopatra has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahly VS Ceramica Cleopatra
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahly

(Home)
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1
Al Ahly
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha
28 Aug
ZED FC
0 : 2
Al Ahly
23 Aug
Al Ahly
3 : 2
Enppi
Page 1 of 6

Ceramica Cleopatra

(Away)
14 Sept
Ceramica Cleopatra
2 : 0
National Bank Egypt
08 Sept
Smouha
0 : 2
Ceramica Cleopatra
02 Sept
Ceramica Cleopatra
2 : 0
Modern Sport
28 Aug
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 3
Ceramica Cleopatra
23 Aug
Ceramica Cleopatra
1 : 2
Al Qanah
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Zamalek 1
Pyramids 0
Al Ahly 2
Ceramica Cleopatra 1
Final
Zamalek 0
Al Ahly 2
Pyramids 1
Ceramica Cleopatra 2