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Stadium Background

Al Ahly vs Zamalek Prediction & H2H Stats

Egypt Egypt

Super Cup Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Gradisar N.
44' Event
Bencharki A.
Assist: Sayed A.
46'
Sub
Ismail M. In: Abdelmaguid H.
Out: Ismail M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al Ahly
15%
Draws
46%
Zamalek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zamalek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Zamalek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Zamalek arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ahly, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Al Ahly Clean Sheet 24%
Zamalek Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahly Zamalek
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.52 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Premier League
Zamalek vs Al Ahly
0:3
Nov 9, 2025 Super Cup
Al Ahly vs Zamalek
2:0
Sep 29, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahly vs Zamalek
2:1
Mar 11, 2025 Premier League
Zamalek vs Al Ahly
3:0
Feb 22, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahly vs Zamalek
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahly Compare

Top Goalscorer Bencharki A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ateya M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Zamalek Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahly 37 / 100
Zamalek 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahly Zamalek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zamalek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahly found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Ahly went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Zamalek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahly VS Zamalek
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahly

(Home)
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1
Al Ahly
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha
28 Aug
ZED FC
0 : 2
Al Ahly
23 Aug
Al Ahly
3 : 2
Enppi
Page 1 of 6

Zamalek

(Away)
16 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 1
Zamalek
12 Sept
Zamalek
4 : 0
Port
08 Sept
Zamalek
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
04 Sept
Port
1 : 2
Zamalek
31 Aug
Zamalek
2 : 1
Petrojet
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Zamalek 1
Pyramids 0
Al Ahly 2
Ceramica Cleopatra 1
Final
Zamalek 0
Al Ahly 2
Pyramids 1
Ceramica Cleopatra 2