Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ain vs Ajman

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Tahnoun Bin Mohamed Stadium, Al Ain
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Rahimi S.
Assist: Niang A.
18'
Rodrigues R.
44'
Ben Khaleq Y.

AI Match Summary

Al Ain in this UAE League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Ain
15%
Draws
38%
Ajman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ain lately — more wins on the board than Ajman.
  • Al Ain are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular UAE League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Al Ain Clean Sheet 68%
Ajman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ain Ajman
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 24 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 2.23 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 UAE League
Al Ain vs Ajman
2:0
Oct 30, 2025 UAE League
Ajman vs Al Ain
0:3
May 19, 2025 UAE League
Al Ain vs Ajman
0:0
Jan 15, 2025 UAE League
Ajman vs Al Ain
4:2
Mar 15, 2024 UAE League
Ajman vs Al Ain
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ain Compare

Top Goalscorer Rahimi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Laba K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ajman Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ain 68 / 100
Ajman 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ain Ajman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ain found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Ajman has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Al Ain remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Ain VS Ajman
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ain

(Home)
04 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2
Al Ain
29 Aug
Al Ain
2 : 1
Al Nasr
22 Aug
Al Ain
2 : 0
Khorfakkan
16 Aug
Bani Yas
2 : 4
Al Ain
08 Aug
Osasuna
0 : 2
Al Ain
Page 1 of 7

Ajman

(Away)
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Jazira
3 : 0
Ajman
22 Aug
Ajman
4 : 3
Hatta
14 Aug
Al Wahda
2 : 3
Ajman
22 Jul
FK Sloga Meridian
1 : 4
Ajman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)