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Al Ain vs Al Dhafra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League Tahnoun Bin Mohamed Stadium, Al Ain
Thu, Nov 19, 2026
VS
03:25 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ain host Al Dhafra in the UAE League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Al Ain at 2.31 goals for, 1 against; Al Dhafra at 0.9 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, Al Ain have won 5 to Al Dhafra's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.50, favoring Al Ain. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Al Ain
15%
Draws
26%
Al Dhafra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Dhafra haven't matched Al Ain's recent run of results.
  • Al Ain are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular UAE League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Ain have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Al Ain Clean Sheet 16%
Al Dhafra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ain Al Dhafra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 2.31 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 UAE League
Al Ain vs Al Dhafra
5:0
Jan 8, 2026 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Al Ain
1:2
Feb 5, 2023 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Al Ain
1:4
Sep 10, 2022 UAE League
Al Ain vs Al Dhafra
7:0
May 7, 2022 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Al Ain
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ain 48 / 100
Al Dhafra 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ain Al Dhafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ain found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Al Dhafra conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Ain remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ain VS Al Dhafra
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ain

(Home)
26 Oct
Al Ain
2 : 1
Tractor
22 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
3 : 2
Al Ain
17 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 0
Al Ain
12 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 4
Al Ain
08 Oct
Al Ain
2 : 2
Ittihad Kalba
Page 1 of 6

Al Dhafra

(Away)
24 Oct
Khorfakkan
3 : 2
Al Dhafra
16 Oct
Al Dhafra
5 : 1
United FC
09 Oct
Al Wahda
2 : 0
Al Dhafra
01 Oct
Al Sharjah
2 : 1
Al Dhafra
20 Sept
Al Dhafra
1 : 3
Bani Yas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Al Wasl 6 4 1 1 17:6 13
4 Al Ain 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
5 Al Wahda 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
6 Al Sharjah 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
7 Ajman 6 3 0 3 12:15 9
8 Al Nasr 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
9 United FC 6 2 1 3 13:18 7
10 Al Dhafra 6 2 0 4 8:10 6
11 Ittihad Kalba 6 1 2 3 8:15 5
12 Khorfakkan 6 1 1 4 7:15 4
13 Hatta 6 1 0 5 5:13 3
14 Bani Yas 6 0 1 5 5:12 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)