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Al Ain vs Al Qadisiya

Asia Asia

Gulf Club Champions League Tahnoun Bin Mohamed Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Al Ain play Al Qadisiya in the Gulf Club Champions League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Ain averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.71 conceded. Al Qadisiya averaged 1.41 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, Al Ain won 1, Al Qadisiya won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 18, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Al Ain and 0.81 for Al Qadisiya. This points to a Al Ain double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Ain
20%
Draws
34%
Al Qadisiya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ain picked up more points recently compared to Al Qadisiya.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Al Ain Clean Sheet 26%
Al Qadisiya Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ain Al Qadisiya
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 23 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.13 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Gulf Club Champions League
Al Ain vs Al Qadisiya
0:1
Oct 22, 2025 Gulf Club Champions League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Ain
0:1
Sep 20, 2006 AFC Champions League
Al Ain vs Al Qadisiya
0:3
Sep 13, 2006 AFC Champions League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Ain
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ain Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Al Qadisiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Mutawa B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ain 47 / 100
Al Qadisiya 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ain Al Qadisiya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Ain or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Ain attacking → ← attacking Al Qadisiya

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ain scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Al Qadisiya let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Al Ain went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Qadisiya lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

73 Points in last 5 54
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zakho64119:413
2Al Qadisiya63125:510
3Al Ain63036:59
4Sitra60244:102
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Rayyan633015:512
2Al Shabab614118:77
3Al Nahda61416:77
4Tadamone Hadramout61143:234