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Al Ain vs Khorfakkan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League Tahnoun Bin Mohamed Stadium, Al Ain
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Rahimi S.
40' Event
Camara A.
Own Goal
45'
Sub
Rahimi E. H. In: Bello Ilou B.
Out: Rahimi E. H.

AI Match Summary

Al Ain in this UAE League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Al Ain
30%
Draws
12%
Khorfakkan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ain have won more games recently than Khorfakkan.
  • Model gives Al Ain a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Ain have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Ain Clean Sheet 20%
Khorfakkan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ain Khorfakkan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.28 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 UAE League
Al Ain vs Khorfakkan
2:0
Feb 27, 2026 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Al Ain
2:3
Sep 20, 2025 UAE League
Al Ain vs Khorfakkan
3:0
Jan 30, 2025 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Al Ain
2:2
Aug 24, 2024 UAE League
Al Ain vs Khorfakkan
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ain Compare

Top Goalscorer Rahimi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Khorfakkan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ain 85 / 100
Khorfakkan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ain Khorfakkan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ain's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Khorfakkan let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Al Ain remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ain VS Khorfakkan
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ain

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Ain
2 : 2
Ittihad Kalba
02 Oct
Al Ain
2 : 3
Ajman
19 Sept
Al Wasl
3 : 2
Al Ain
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0
Al Nassr
10 Sept
Al Ain
2 : 2
Al Wasl
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Khorfakkan

(Away)
08 Oct
Khorfakkan
1 : 2
Al Wasl
02 Oct
Khorfakkan
0 : 2
Al Jazira
19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1
Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Khorfakkan
0 : 0
Bani Yas
04 Sept
Al Wasl
5 : 2
Khorfakkan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 5 4 1 0 11:2 13
2 Al Ain 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
3 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
4 Al Wasl 5 3 1 1 15:6 10
5 Ajman 5 3 0 2 11:12 9
6 Al Wahda 5 3 0 2 6:5 9
7 Al Sharjah 5 3 0 2 10:7 9
8 United FC 5 2 1 2 12:13 7
9 Al Nasr 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
10 Ittihad Kalba 5 1 1 3 6:13 4
11 Khorfakkan 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
12 Al Dhafra 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
13 Hatta 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
14 Bani Yas 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)