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Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Tadamon

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley play Tadamon in the Premier League 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Tadamon averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. In past meetings, Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley won 2, Tadamon won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 19, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley and 0.86 for Tadamon. This points to a Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
21%
Draws
29%
Tadamon
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley picked up more points recently compared to Tadamon.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Clean Sheet 25%
Tadamon Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Tadamon
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 5
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.03 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.81

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Tadamon
0:0
Jan 15, 2023 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
2:0
Oct 2, 2022 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
5:2
Nov 19, 2021 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Tadamon
2:1
Dec 25, 2020 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Tadamon
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 50 / 100
Tadamon 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Tadamon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley attacking → ← attacking Tadamon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Tadamon let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tadamon lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 24
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88