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Al Akhdar vs Al Nasr

Libya Libya

Premier League Al Bayda Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Akhdar play Al Nasr in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Akhdar averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. Al Nasr averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Al Akhdar won 1, Al Nasr won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 7, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Al Akhdar and 1.00 for Al Nasr. This points to a Al Nasr double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Akhdar
39%
Draws
31%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Nasr has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al Akhdar.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Al Akhdar Clean Sheet 20%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Akhdar Al Nasr
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 17
Draws 10 8
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Premier League
Al Akhdar vs Al Nasr
1:1
Apr 22, 2026 Premier League
Al Nasr vs Al Akhdar
0:0
Feb 4, 2026 Premier League
Al Akhdar vs Al Nasr
1:3
Jun 19, 2025 Premier League
Al Nasr vs Al Akhdar
0:0
Apr 28, 2025 Premier League
Al Akhdar vs Al Nasr
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Akhdar 31 / 100
Al Nasr 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Akhdar Al Nasr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Akhdar scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Al Nasr let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Al Akhdar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Al Nasr lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Akhdar VS Al Nasr
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%