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Al Akhdar vs Al Nasr Prediction & H2H Stats

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026 Al Bayda Stadium, Bayda
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Akhdar and Al Nasr finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al Akhdar
20%
Draws
42%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Akhdar come out ahead of Al Nasr on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al Akhdar Clean Sheet 20%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Akhdar Al Nasr
Matches Played 38 34
Wins 20 19
Draws 13 10
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.42 1.56
Goals Conceded 0.84 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Premier League
Al Akhdar vs Al Nasr
1:1
Apr 22, 2026 Premier League
Al Nasr vs Al Akhdar
0:0
Feb 4, 2026 Premier League
Al Akhdar vs Al Nasr
1:3
Jun 19, 2025 Premier League
Al Nasr vs Al Akhdar
0:0
Apr 28, 2025 Premier League
Al Akhdar vs Al Nasr
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Akhdar 31 / 100
Al Nasr 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Akhdar Al Nasr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Akhdar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Akhdar's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Al Akhdar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Al Nasr conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Akhdar VS Al Nasr
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Akhdar

(Home)
23 May
Al Akhdar
2 : 0
Al Hilal Benghazi
19 May
Al-Afreeki
2 : 3
Al Akhdar
15 May
Military Union
1 : 1
Al Akhdar
11 May
Al Ahly Benghazi
1 : 2
Al Akhdar
07 May
Al Akhdar
1 : 1
Al Nasr
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Al Nasr

(Away)
06 Jun
Asswehly
2 : 1
Al Nasr
23 May
Al Nasr
2 : 1
Military Union
19 May
Al Nasr
1 : 0
Al Ahly Benghazi
15 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 2
Al Nasr
11 May
Al Hilal Benghazi
2 : 3
Al Nasr
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