Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ansar vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mannaa A.
28' Event
Tneich A.
Assist: Zein M.
86' Event
Akuka I.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Ansar and Al Riyadi Abbasiyah finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Riyadi Abbasiyah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Ansar
33%
Draws
27%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Riyadi Abbasiyah haven't matched Al Ansar's recent run of results.
  • Al Ansar are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Al Ansar have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 68%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ansar Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 3.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1:2
Nov 7, 2025 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Al Ansar
0:1
Feb 1, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tneich A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Compare

Top Goalscorer Mannaa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akuka I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ansar 50 / 100
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ansar Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ansar's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Al Ansar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Ansar VS Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
3.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ansar

(Home)
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
12 Jul
Al Ansar
3 : 3
Al Ahed
03 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 3
Al Ansar
29 Jun
Al-Mabarrah
0 : 7
Al Ansar
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Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

(Away)
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
13 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4 : 0
Racing
02 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 0
Racing
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar21172253:953
2Nejmeh SC21144342:1046
3Al Ahed21131734:2240
4Jwayya SC21115531:1438
5Safa21113730:1736
6Al Hikma2193929:2730
7Al Sahel2176822:2127
8Al-Mabarrah2157912:3622
9Al Riyadi Abbasiyah21551116:3020
10Tadamon21381012:2617
11Racing2101204:611
12Bourj113178:2010
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)