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Al Ansar vs Al Ittihad Aleppo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League Changlimithang Stadium, Thimphu
Al Ansar Logo

Al Ansar

Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Al Ittihad Aleppo Logo

Al Ittihad Aleppo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Ansar host Al Ittihad Aleppo in the AFC Challenge League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Al Ansar at 2.31 goals for, 0.81 against; Al Ittihad Aleppo at 2.75 for, 0.75 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.52 - 1.38) back Al Ittihad Aleppo to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al Ansar
15%
Draws
46%
Al Ittihad Aleppo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ittihad Aleppo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ittihad Aleppo come out ahead of Al Ansar on wins alone.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular AFC Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 17%
Al Ittihad Aleppo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ansar Al Ittihad Aleppo
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 18 21
Draws 4 6
Losses 4 1
Goals Scored 2.31 2.75
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ansar 31 / 100
Al Ittihad Aleppo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ansar Al Ittihad Aleppo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Aleppo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Ansar scored in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Al Ansar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Al Ittihad Aleppo has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Ansar VS Al Ittihad Aleppo
2.75 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.29
100% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ansar

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Ansar
2 : 1
Al Hikma
04 Sept
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Al Nahda Ber Al Yaas
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
Page 1 of 6

Al Ittihad Aleppo

(Away)
10 Oct
Horriya
1 : 3
Al Ittihad Aleppo
11 Aug
Al Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Bangladesh Police
03 Jul
Al Ittihad Aleppo
2 : 0
Al Jaish
28 Jun
Jableh
1 : 4
Al Ittihad Aleppo
24 Jun
Al Ittihad Aleppo
4 : 0
Hottin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al Ansar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ahal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Paro 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Nejmeh SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Homs Al Fidaa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadisiya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Regar-TadAZ 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 FC Goa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Fortis 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yangon United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Borneo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Taiwan Steel 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Taguig 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Kasuka 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Hang Yuen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Manila Digger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)