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Al Ansar vs Al Qadisiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Wed, Mar 17, 2027
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the AFC Challenge League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Al Ansar at 2.26 goals for, 0.89 against; Al Qadisiya at 1.63 for, 0.89 against. Past meetings favor Al Qadisiya slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 22, 2006, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.25, favoring Al Qadisiya. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Al Ansar
15%
Draws
42%
Al Qadisiya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Al Ansar at 2.26 per game, Al Qadisiya at 1.63.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Qadisiya, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 19%
Al Qadisiya Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ansar Al Qadisiya
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 18 18
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.26 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2006 Arab Club Champions Cup
Al Ansar vs Al Qadisiya
1:3
Oct 6, 2006 Arab Club Champions Cup
Al Qadisiya vs Al Ansar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ansar 32 / 100
Al Qadisiya 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ansar Al Qadisiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Qadisiya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Ansar scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Al Ansar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Qadisiya has conceded goals in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Ansar VS Al Qadisiya
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ansar

(Home)
23 Oct
Ahal
2 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Oct
Paro
1 : 2
Al Ansar
17 Oct
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Al Ittihad Aleppo
08 Oct
Al Ansar
2 : 1
Al Hikma
04 Sept
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Al Nahda Ber Al Yaas
Page 1 of 6

Al Qadisiya

(Away)
23 Oct
FC Goa
1 : 2
Al Qadisiya
20 Oct
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 1
Al Qadisiya
17 Oct
Al Qadisiya
3 : 0
Fortis
10 Oct
Al Tadamon
0 : 2
Al Qadisiya
24 Sept
Al Qadisiya
1 : 2
Al Fahaheel
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Homs Al Fidaa -
Al Ittihad Aleppo -
Al Ansar -
Al Qadisiya -
TBD -
Borneo -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -