Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ansar vs Jwayya SC

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Our Tip

Match Events

48'
55' Event
Khalfallah H.
Assist: Matar N.
82' Event
Bou Saleh M.
Assist: Malick Tall E.

AI Match Summary

Al Ansar in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ansar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Ansar
30%
Draws
19%
Jwayya SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jwayya SC haven't matched Al Ansar's recent run of results.
  • Al Ansar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Ansar have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 20%
Jwayya SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ansar Jwayya SC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.26 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Al Ansar
1:2
Jul 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Jwayya SC
2:0
Jun 24, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Jwayya SC
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Al Ansar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalfallah H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bou Saleh M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Jwayya SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ansar 85 / 100
Jwayya SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ansar Jwayya SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ansar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ansar's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Al Ansar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Jwayya SC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ansar VS Jwayya SC
3.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ansar

(Home)
04 Sept
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Al Nahda Ber Al Yaas
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
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Jwayya SC

(Away)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)