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Al Ansar vs Nejmeh SC Prediction & H2H Stats

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2025/2026 Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Thu, May 21, 2026
3 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Malick Tall E.
Assist: Bader K.
40' Event
Kassas A.
Assist: El Fadl A.
53'
Chaitou H.

AI Match Summary

Al Ansar in this Premier League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al Ansar
30%
Draws
33%
Nejmeh SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Nejmeh SC haven't matched Al Ansar's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Al Ansar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ansar, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 19%
Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ansar Nejmeh SC
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 22 19
Draws 5 7
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.32 1.84
Goals Conceded 0.74 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al Ansar
1:2
Jul 20, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Nejmeh SC
1:1
May 21, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Nejmeh SC
3:2
Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al Ansar
0:0
Jan 18, 2026 Lebanese Cup
Nejmeh SC vs Al Ansar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer Malick Tall E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bou Saleh M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nejmeh SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kassas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Masud J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ansar 31 / 100
Nejmeh SC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ansar Nejmeh SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ansar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ansar scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Al Ansar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Nejmeh SC conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ansar VS Nejmeh SC
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ansar

(Home)
04 Sept
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Al Nahda Ber Al Yaas
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
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Nejmeh SC

(Away)
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Nejmeh SC 2
Al Ansar 3