Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ansar vs Nejmeh SC

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Malick Tall E.
62' Event
Khamis K.
Assist: El Zein K.
89' Event
Malick Tall E.
Assist: Bader K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al Ansar
30%
Draws
33%
Nejmeh SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ansar lately — more wins on the board than Nejmeh SC.
  • Al Ansar are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 16%
Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ansar Nejmeh SC
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 22 19
Draws 5 7
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.26 1.87
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al Ansar
1:2
Jul 20, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Nejmeh SC
1:1
May 21, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Nejmeh SC
3:2
Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al Ansar
0:0
Jan 18, 2026 Lebanese Cup
Nejmeh SC vs Al Ansar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer Malick Tall E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nejmeh SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Khamis K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ansar 48 / 100
Nejmeh SC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ansar Nejmeh SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ansar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ansar found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Al Ansar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Nejmeh SC has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Ansar VS Nejmeh SC
2.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ansar

(Home)
04 Sept
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Al Nahda Ber Al Yaas
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
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Nejmeh SC

(Away)
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 27 20 5 2 64:16 39
2 Nejmeh SC 27 17 6 4 50:15 34
3 Jwayya SC 27 12 7 8 37:22 24
4 Al Ahed 27 13 4 10 41:34 23
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