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Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al Ahli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Grand Hamad Stadium, Doha
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
02:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Arabi (Qatar) host Al Ahli in the QSL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Al Arabi (Qatar) at 1.93 goals for, 1.67 against; Al Ahli at 1.75 for, 1.96 against. Head-to-head, Al Arabi (Qatar) have won 3 to Al Ahli's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.31, favoring Al Arabi (Qatar). Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Al Arabi (Qatar)
30%
Draws
29%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Arabi (Qatar)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Al Arabi (Qatar) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Al Arabi (Qatar) taking it.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Al Arabi (Qatar) Clean Sheet 18%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Arabi (Qatar) Al Ahli
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 QSL
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al Ahli
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 QSL
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al Ahli
4:2
Sep 22, 2024 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
3:3
Aug 30, 2024 QSL Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al Ahli
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Arabi (Qatar) 40 / 100
Al Ahli 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Arabi (Qatar) Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Arabi (Qatar) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Arabi (Qatar) scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Al Ahli has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Al Arabi (Qatar) has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Arabi (Qatar) VS Al Ahli
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Arabi (Qatar)

(Home)
24 Oct
Al Wakra
3 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
16 Oct
Al Shahaniya
0 : 6
Al Arabi (Qatar)
09 Oct
Al Sadd
2 : 3
Al Arabi (Qatar)
21 Sept
Al Duhail
2 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0
Qatar SC
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Al Ahli

(Away)
22 Oct
Al Gharafa
2 : 2
Al Ahli
16 Oct
Al Ahli
0 : 3
Al Wakra
10 Oct
Al Ahli
5 : 0
Al Sailiya
29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1
Al Ahli
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Shahaniya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 7 5 2 0 16:3 17
2 Al Sadd 7 5 0 2 27:13 15
3 Al Duhail 7 4 3 0 15:6 15
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 7 3 3 1 16:8 12
5 Al Wakra 7 3 2 2 13:13 11
6 Shamal 7 2 3 2 12:13 9
7 Al Ahli 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
8 Al Shahaniya 7 2 1 4 8:19 7
9 Lusail 7 1 3 3 8:8 6
10 Al Gharafa 7 1 3 3 8:13 6
11 Qatar SC 7 1 3 3 9:16 6
12 Al Sailiya 7 0 1 6 8:26 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)